Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.229682 0.265232 0.304263 0.350269 0.402990 0.461495 0.531326
2024-11-03 0.182394 0.230690 0.288464 0.362561 0.454976 0.566343 0.710665
2024-11-10 0.148762 0.204506 0.276619 0.376486 0.510947 0.685454 0.928892
2024-11-17 0.118649 0.176320 0.256572 0.375913 0.548361 0.787947 1.145499
2024-11-24 0.095594 0.152786 0.237968 0.373298 0.582051 0.890837 1.381074
2024-12-01 0.078450 0.134218 0.222710 0.372212 0.617193 1.001115 1.646294
2024-12-08 0.065665 0.119741 0.210781 0.373643 0.655908 1.122514 1.948809
2024-12-15 0.056776 0.109891 0.204386 0.382668 0.708127 1.273310 2.323623
2024-12-22 0.048049 0.098447 0.192947 0.380478 0.740076 1.394259 2.666425
2024-12-29 0.042330 0.091478 0.188272 0.389619 0.793745 1.561276 3.117793
2025-01-05 0.036104 0.082164 0.177286 0.384353 0.818625 1.678182 3.492724
2025-01-12 0.032009 0.076478 0.172502 0.390629 0.867267 1.847698 3.996150
2025-01-19 0.027074 0.067994 0.160478 0.379890 0.879779 1.948971 4.382193
2025-01-26 0.024592 0.064708 0.159317 0.393031 0.946553 2.174041 5.066835
2025-02-02 0.022519 0.061982 0.158946 0.407978 1.020117 2.425373 5.849490
2025-02-09 0.019843 0.057127 0.152551 0.407284 1.056942 2.600218 6.486580
2025-02-16 0.017448 0.052482 0.145789 0.404407 1.087975 2.766454 7.129974
2025-02-23 0.015464 0.048539 0.140084 0.403198 1.123031 2.947730 7.838572
2025-03-02 0.013855 0.045317 0.135698 0.404722 1.165534 3.153969 8.642130
2025-03-09 0.012731 0.043313 0.134337 0.414457 1.231986 3.431452 9.672713
2025-03-16 0.011354 0.040187 0.129117 0.412081 1.264316 3.624396 10.508969
2025-03-23 0.010493 0.038554 0.128059 0.421948 1.333657 3.927805 11.693471
2025-03-30 0.009324 0.035593 0.122299 0.416254 1.355971 4.104304 12.549803